Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.413843 10.470742 11.608276 12.925385 14.410625 16.036113 17.953206
2025-07-06 7.646089 9.041841 10.649150 12.643823 15.062276 17.911428 21.539627
2025-07-13 6.631990 8.278359 10.291615 12.951091 16.396187 20.741058 26.687507
2025-07-20 5.849782 7.664142 10.006125 13.281155 17.790843 23.852430 32.735377
2025-07-27 5.157592 7.055488 9.627086 13.413910 18.928832 26.793047 39.083337
2025-08-03 4.504480 6.402125 9.086770 13.227930 19.573511 29.126603 44.975873
2025-08-10 3.962639 5.829301 8.575279 12.994505 20.091117 31.328144 51.050979
2025-08-17 3.516911 5.338090 8.114389 12.760257 20.552637 33.489162 57.439203
2025-08-24 3.163397 4.942403 7.745600 12.610816 21.112679 35.876303 64.646478
2025-08-31 2.882080 4.626120 7.460724 12.552866 21.805162 38.580004 72.933825
2025-09-07 2.701588 4.452359 7.385727 12.837663 23.135616 42.631663 84.618738
2025-09-14 2.481500 4.186239 7.120606 12.742749 23.739483 45.391283 94.219535
2025-09-21 2.249021 3.879144 6.758178 12.437479 23.926657 47.427227 102.875106
2025-09-28 2.064376 3.638105 6.487976 12.272466 24.369254 50.066390 113.502960
2025-10-05 1.969025 3.550020 6.490172 12.642656 25.976428 55.485929 132.029063
2025-10-12 1.881894 3.467839 6.493570 13.014704 27.647266 61.359913 153.200909
2025-10-19 1.779436 3.345416 6.404200 13.179115 28.881451 66.450118 173.663772
2025-10-26 1.653875 3.165037 6.179091 13.019722 29.342116 69.749431 190.055844
2025-11-02 1.535708 2.988282 5.943040 12.805547 29.639106 72.694265 206.233286
2025-11-09 1.428516 2.824120 5.716759 12.585090 29.887435 75.563017 222.999514
2025-11-16 1.338146 2.686885 5.534391 12.444576 30.317962 79.012532 242.631239
2025-11-23 1.262829 2.574869 5.395911 12.391927 30.971003 83.218412 266.062939
2025-11-30 1.218910 2.526710 5.394553 12.675737 32.575866 90.517061 302.613471